Stoxx50 – MYC De Monte Carlo

 

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The MYC de Monte Carlo system is the first system offered by SCM to simultaneously trade multiple entry signals on the same contract.  This system trades the highly liquid EURO STOXX 50 Index futures, the Eurozone’s leading blue chip index covering 50 stocks from Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal and Spain.
MYC de Monte Carlo has been designed to deliver consistent monthly outperformance, with a combination of strategies that perform under a variety of market conditions.  The system incorporates break-out and counter-trend entries, and also trades a seasonal bias currently exhibited by this market.  This means the system usually trades around 25 times per month, considerably more frequently than most other systems offered by SCM. The system performance summarised below illustrates back-tested results to June 2006, corresponding with the extended trading hours introduced by the Deutsche Börse at that time.  In the 66 months that have followed, MYC de Monte Carlo has been profitable in 46, or 70% of the time.  The average profitable month has returned €2,846 to date after all commissions and slippage are deducted, which is well ahead of the average unprofitable month at -€930.  SCM suggests clients allocate at least €30,000 to begin trading this strategy at current index levels. MYC de Monte Carlo has been added to the SCM stable to provide clients with an affordable exposure to trade in the European time zone, which can provide diversification benefits when bundled with SCM’s Asian systems.
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SCM has received an allocation of 20 contracts from the system developer for this system, and is now taking expressions of interest from existing and new clients looking to add this strategy to their portfolio.  Please contact Andrew Gibbs at andrew.gibbs@strategiccapitalmanagement.co.nz if you wish to reserve a place.

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Disclaimer

Futures based investments are often complex and can carry the risk of substantial losses. They are not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The percentage returns above are hypothetical in that they represent the percentage returns experienced in a model account.

The model account rises or falls by the hypothetical compounded profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals over the test period utilising the money management formula shown above. Returns and drawdowns can increase with a higher level of risk or be reduced with lower levels of risk by adjusting the money management formula for a higher or lower risk (see my blog for more details). The hypothetical model account begins with the initial capital level listed with returns based upon the running total of returns over the period. The % returns reflect inclusion of commissions, fees, and the cost of the system. The monthly cost of the system (if any) is subtracted from the net profit/loss prior to calculating the % return. For systems with one time purchase costs, the monthly cost is calculated by dividing the purchase cost by the number of months in the reporting period.

The main limitation of the hypothetical performance figures shown above is that they assume you can keep compounding to an infinite number of contracts. In practice we would not really be able to continue compounding past 100 contracts. In practice this is overcome by adding additional markets to trade and diversifying the portfolio.

The actual percentage gains/losses experienced by investors will vary depending on many factors, including, but not limited to: starting account balances, market behavior, the duration and extent of investor participation (whether or not all signals are taken) in the specified system, and money management techniques.

CFTC Rule 4.41 – Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.

Government regulations require disclosure of the fact that while these methods may have worked in the past, past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. While there is a potential for profits there is also a risk of loss. A loss incurred in connection with trading futures contracts can be significant. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition since all speculative trading is inherently risky and should only be undertaken by individuals with adequate risk capital.